These investment flows mean that renewable
energy has become big business.Worldwide, at
least 60 publicly traded renewable energy companies,
or renewable energy divisions of major
companies, had a market capitalization greater than $40
million in 2005. The estimated total market capitalization
of these companies and divisions was more than $25 billion.
The next largest 100 renewable energy companies or divisions
would add several billion dollars more of market capitalization
to this figure. Solar PV is becoming one of the
world’s fastest growing, most profitable industries. Capacity
expansion plans for 2005–2008 total several hundred megawatts,
and an estimated $5–7 billion of capital investment
will be made in 2005.[
N17]
Perhaps the best illustration of how renewable energy
has become big business is the entrance of the largest industry
players into the wind power market, historically dominated
by dedicated wind-turbine manufacturing companies.
GE and Siemens are prominent examples of large electricalequipment
companies that have entered the wind market
in recent years, both through acquisition (GE bought
Enron Wind in 2003 and Siemens bought Bonus in 2004).
In China, five of the largest electrical, aerospace, and power
generation equipment companies began to develop wind
turbine technology in 2004. Four signed technology-transfer
contracts with foreign companies and were planning to
produce their first prototype turbines in 2005. Such big
players are bringing new competencies to the market,
including finance, marketing, and production scale, and
are adding additional credibility to the technology.
The wind power industry produced more than 6,000
wind turbines in 2004, at an average size of 1.25 MW each.
The top six manufacturers are Vestas (Denmark, merged
with NEG Micon in 2004), Gamesa (Spain), Enercon (Germany),
GE Energy (USA), Siemens (Denmark, merged with
Bonus in 2004), and Suzlon (India). In China, there are
two primary turbine manufacturers, Goldwind and Xi’an
Nordex, with market shares of 20 percent and 5 percent
respectively (75 percent of the market being imports).
Global industry progress has been closely related to turbine
size, with the average installed turbine increasing from 500
kW in 1995 to 1,300 kW in 2004. The U.S. and European
wind industries now produce turbines in the 1,000–3,000
kW range, but production of 600–1,000 kW sizes is still
common in India and China. European manufacturers have
introduced prototype wind turbines in the 5,000 kW range.
Making larger turbines is still the number-one technological
issue in the turbine industry. The industry has continued to
make innovations in materials, electronics, blade and generator
design, and site optimization, and these innovations
offer further potential for cost reduction.[
N18]
The solar PV industry celebrated its first gigawatt of
global cumulative production in 1999. Five years later, by
the end of 2004, cumulative production had quadrupled to
more than 4 gigawatts. Production expansion continued
aggressively around the world in 2004, and annual production
exceeded 1,100 MW. Announced plans by major manufacturers
for 2005 included at least a 400 MW increase in
production capacity and several hundred megawatts further
capacity in the 2006–2008 period. The top three global
manufacturers in 2004 were Sharp, Kyocera, and BP Solar
(though rapid capacity expansions by many players lead to
changes in the top positions year to year).[
N19]
China and other developing countries have emerged as
solar PV manufacturers. Chinese module production capacity
doubled during 2004, from 50 MW to 100 MW, and cell
production capacity increased to 70 MW. Production capacity
could double again in 2005 due to announced industry
plans. India has 8 cell manufacturers and 14 module manufacturers.
India’s primary solar PV producer, Tata BP Solar,
expanded production capacity from 8 MW in 2001 to 38
MW in 2004. In the Philippines, Sun Power planned in 2004
to double its cell production capacity to 50 MW. Solartron
in Thailand announced plans for 20 MW cell production
capacity by 2007. Across the whole industry, economies
from larger production scales, as well as design and process
improvements, promise further cost reductions.
Industries for biomass power and heat and small hydro
are much more mature, localized, and diverse than those for
wind and solar PV. Biomass heat and power investments
tend to be made by the same companies generating waste
biomass resources, such as timber and paper companies and
sugar mills. European industry has maintained a leading
position in the field of small hydropower manufacturing,
with particular concern in recent years for upgrading and
refurbishing existing plants. Small hydro technology
improvements are focused on exploiting low heads (less
than 15 meters) and small capacities (less than 250 kW).
China’s small hydro industry numbers at least 500 enterprises
producing hydro generators. In contrast, five large
firms dominate the international geothermal power industry
(Ansaldo, Fuji,Mitsubishi, Ormat, and Toshiba).[
N20,
N21]
The global ethanol industry is centered in Brazil and the
United States. There were more than 300 sugar mills/distilleries
producing ethanol in Brazil in 2004, and 39 new
distillers were licensed in early 2005. In the United States,
construction of 12 new ethanol plants was completed in
2004, bringing the total to more than 80. Also in 2004, construction
of 16 new plants was started. Several large ethanol
plants will begin production in 2005 in Germany and the
United States. Brazil’s ethanol industry has also become a
major ethanol exporter, accounting for about half of international
shipments of ethanol during 2004. There was also
considerable biofuels trade (of both ethanol and biodiesel)
within the EU, and several other countries planned to
expand their ethanol industries.[
N22]
The sophistication of many segments of the renewableenergy
industry increases year by year. For example, small
wind turbine manufacturers are offering easier set-up and
hybridization options with solar and other technologies.
The off-grid solar PV industry is beginning to develop standardized
"plug and play" packages for lanterns and full-scale
household systems. Some companies are innovating with
packaging hybrid systems; for example, one U.S. company
is blending PV and small wind turbines on shipping containers
with advanced batteries and controls to offer complete
pre-packaged systems.More sophisticated controls,
performance monitoring, and communications are being
integrated into systems, allowing better energy accounting
and more sophisticated billing and payment schemes.
The renewable energy industry continues to grow rapidly.
Direct jobs worldwide from renewable energy manufacturing,
operations, and maintenance exceeded 1.7 million
in 2004, including some 0.9 million for biofuels production.
Indirect jobs are likely several times larger. These estimates
are preliminary, as published job estimates exist for only a
few specific industries and countries. Examples of countryspecific
estimates include: 400,000 jobs in the Brazil ethanol
industry; 250,000 jobs in the China solar hot water industry;
130,000 jobs in Germany from all renewables; 75,000
jobs in the European wind industry; 15,000 jobs in the
European solar PV industry; 12,000 jobs in the U.S. solar PV
industry; 11,000 jobs in the Nepal biogas industry; 3,400
jobs in Japan from renewables; and 2,200 jobs in the EU for
small hydro.
*1[
N24]
Footnotes
*1 No estimates exist in the literature for total jobs from renewable energy worldwide. See Note 24 for details of the analysis used for this report, which
includes small hydro, biomass power, wind power, geothermal power, solar PV, solar hot water, ethanol, and biodiesel, but does not include geothermal and
biomass heating.