Policy

Policies to encourage the use of renewable energy in the transport sector include targets, incentives and mandates aimed at increasing the use of biofuels and at boosting vehicle electrification through the integration of renewables. The global momentum towards net zero emission pathways also has driven policy change in the transport sector, although with a stronger focus on decarbonisation than on the penetration of renewables. 23

During 2022, no new national targets for renewable energy shares were adopted in the transport sector, however, a few countries revised their targets. Two countries raised their targets for the share of renewables in transport by 2030: Portugal from 20% to 29%, and the Netherlands from 14% to 28%. 24 In contrast, Italy revised its 2030 target downward from 22% to 16%. 25 At the city level, Curitiba (Brazil) set a target to power 100% of passenger transport with renewables by 2050. 26
In the United States, King County (Washington state) committed to achieving a zero-emission public transport fleet by 2040. 27

Road Transport

The global energy crisis resulting from the war in Ukraine, as well as high fuel prices at the pump, have motivated policy makers to enact more low-carbon policies for road transport. 28 Although biofuels have been a key focus for decades, the number of new biofuel policies has flattened in recent years. Meanwhile, policies targeting the electrification of road transport have received growing interest. However, incentives for electric vehicles do not necessarily lead to greater renewable energy uptake unless they are aligned specifically with efforts to increase renewables in the electricity mix.

Biofuel blending mandates remain the most common policy for advancing renewable fuels in transport. As of the end of 2022, a total of 56 countries and 30 sub-national jurisdictions had in place biofuel blending mandates (p See Figure 10); this was down from 65 countries in 2021, due to temporary suspensions of mandates in some countries. 29

Some countries updated their policies. Four countries – Argentina, India, Indonesia and the Republic of Korea – increased their biofuel mandates or targets in 2022. To reduce reliance on oil imports, India amended its national biofuel policy by increasing the ethanol blend in petrol to 20% by 2025-2026 (five years ahead of schedule) and allowing for additional feedstocks in biofuel production. 30 The Republic of Korea raised its biofuel blend mandate for road transport from 3% to 3.5%, and in the United States the Environmental Protection Agency proposed updating the national renewable fuel policy to mandate higher volumes. 31

During 2022, 10 national and sub-national jurisdictions either temporarily reduced their biofuel blending mandates (Brazil, Colombia, Finland, Mexico and Thailand) or suspended them (Czech Republic, Latvia, Peru, Zimbabwe and the US state of New Mexico). 32 In some cases, countries scaledback their mandates because of rising prices for vegetable oil. Brazil's National Energy Policy Council opted to extend the existing mandate of 10% for a longer time period, rather than increasing it. 33

FIGURE 10.

National and Sub-National Renewable Biofuel Mandates and Targets, as of End-2022

FIGURE 10.

Source: See endnote 29 for this module.

4 countries (Argentina, India, Indonesia and the Republic of Korea) increased their biofuel mandates or targets in 2022.

Momentum for the electrification of vehicles is growing, with support policies ranging from tax incentives and stimulus packages to specific targets for electric vehicles. By the end of 2022, a total of 23 national and 17 sub-national jurisdictions had 100% internal combustion engine vehicles. 34 (See Figure 11)

Early in the year, Thailand rolled out a set of exemptions or reductions of import duty and excise tax, as well as conditional subsidies, for imported electric vehicles; these measures build on the target set in 2021 to produce domestically 250,000 electric vehicles, 3,000 electric public buses, and 53,000 electric motorcycles by 2025, and 1.2 million electric vehicles by 2036. 35 In the Philippines, the Electric Vehicle Industry Development Act entered into law, offering fiscal incentives for the manufacture of electric vehicles. 36 The US Environmental Protection Agency amended its renewable fuel policy to include, for the first time, a pathway for electric vehicle manufacturers. 3 7

As support for COVID-19 stimulus packages continued in 2022, some countries provided ongoing incentives for electric vehicle purchases. France and Germany, among others, now offer consumers an environmental bonus for buying an electric vehicle, often financed through a tax collected on the sale of internal combustion engine vehicles. 38 A few countries revised down their vehicle electrification targets. For example, Germany adjusted its initial target of having 15 million exclusively battery electric vehicles on the road by 2030, so that it also includes plug-in hybrids. 39

FIGURE 11.

Targets for Renewable Power and Electric Vehicles, as of End-2022

FIGURE 11.

Source: See endnote 34 for this module.

5 countries (Chile, Denmark, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) had both a 100% ICE ban and a 100% renewable power target.

Policies for charging infrastructure also gained attention during the year. The US Department of Transportation proposed standards for a National Electric Vehicle Charging Network that includes using renewable electricity for charging. 40 In France, new legislation makes it mandatory for parking lots that have 80 spots or more to install solar photovoltaic (PV) systems for electric vehicle charging within three to five years. 41

Hydrogen production for road transport is seen as suitable for use in heavy-duty vehicles that drive long distances. India launched a Green Hydrogen and Green Ammonia Policy in February 2022 and also announced a National Hydrogen Mission, with specific mention of the transport sector. 42

Bans on internal combustion engine vehicles provide indirect policy support for renewables. In 2022, 17 new and revised electric vehicle targets and policies were announced, covering 16 countries and 1 sub-national jurisdiction (the US state of Minnesota), with 6 of the countries (Canada, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Mexico, New Zealand and the Philippines) announcing 100% bans on internal combustion engine vehicles by a specified year. 43 Chile and New Zealand also have targets for 100% renewable power (across all sectors). 44 The European Union (EU) approved a ban on the sale of all new petrol and diesel cars from 2035. 45

Aviation, Rail and Shipping

Despite growing efforts to incorporate renewables into aviation, rail and shipping – such as by using biofuels in aviation and developing electric and hydrogen-powered trains – policies supporting these initiatives remain nascent and face significant challenges. The use of renewables also has been limited by the heavy reliance on fossil fuels in these sectors. In some cases, policies have impeded the development of low-carbon alternatives: for example, the EU continues to provide tax exemptions for kerosene fuel used in aviation. 46

In 2022, there was growing emphasis on policies supporting sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF, defined as fuels produced from sustainable feedstocks that have similar properties to conventional aviation fuel. With more countries and airlines committing to net zero emissions, SAF is increasingly seen as the way forward for decarbonising aviation. 47

The EU and the United States have led the way in SAF policies. In December 2022, the EU's the ReFuelEU Aviation package of legislative proposals includes a blending mandate for aviation fuel suppliers starting in 2025. 48 The United States adopted legislation in August that includes a two-year blender tax credit and a two-year production tax credit for SAF, along with a grant programme of USD 290 million. 49 Subsequently, the US Department of Energy issued the SAF grand challenge roadmap, which details the country's strategy to reach its SAF targets. 50

Denmark announced plans to make all domestic flights fossil fuel-free by 2030 and is considering a range of technological options to achieve this, including synthetic paraffin, battery-electric and fuel cell-electric aircraft. 51 In a similar push to reduce emissions, France banned all short-haul flights if there is an existing rail alternative of less than 2.5 hours' duration. 52 Concurrently, the French national railway company signed a 25-year power purchase agreement (PPA) to secure enough solar PV power to cover 3.6% of its annual energy use; this brings to seven the total number of solar PPAs the company has signed in recent years. 53 The rail company is aiming for a 40-50% of its electricity demand covered by renewable energy. 54

In the shipping sector, several green shipping corridors – where zero-emission solutions are in place along key maritime trade routes – were announced in 2022. These include the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Singapore Green and Digital Shipping Corridor, the Republic of Korea-US Green Corridor, the Rotterdam-Singapore Green Corridor and, notably, the Shanghai-Los Angeles corridor. 55 (See Snapshot: US-China) These are among several worldwide initiatives and commitments made in the shipping industry following the signing of the Clydebank Declaration (on the establishment of green shipping corridors) at the United Nations climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland in 2021. 56

Snapshot.US-CHINA

World's First Trans-Pacific Green Shipping Corridor Between Los Angeles and Shanghai

In 2022, the Port of Los Angeles in the United States and the Port of Shanghai in China announced a strategic partnership to create a green transport corridor to reduce emissions from one of the world's busiest container shipping routes. The alliance aims to phase in low-carbon fuels in order to achieve zero-carbon container ships by 2030. It was facilitated by the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group and involves authorities from both cities as well as industry partners, including shipping companies and a network of cargo owners.

Read more Collapse

World's First Trans-Pacific Green Shipping Corridor Between Los Angeles and Shanghai

In 2022, the Port of Los Angeles in the United States and the Port of Shanghai in China announced a strategic partnership to create a green transport corridor to reduce emissions from one of the world's busiest container shipping routes. The alliance aims to phase in low-carbon fuels in order to achieve zero-carbon container ships by 2030. It was facilitated by the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group and involves authorities from both cities as well as industry partners, including shipping companies and a network of cargo owners.

This alliance represents a step forward in promoting long-term decarbonisation solutions for shipping. The shipping sector is responsible for up to 3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, and emissions from the sector are expected to double by 2050. In 2020, an estimated 21% of the total of 31.2 million containers moved by ship across the Pacific Ocean travelled along the Trans-Pacific corridor. Introducing low- and zero-carbon fuel ships on this busy transport route can potentially reduce a large share of the sector's emissions.

In addition to phasing in low- and ultra-low-carbon fuel ships in the 2020s and operating the first zero-carbon container ships by 2030, the Los Angeles and Shanghai Green Shipping Corridor Association aims to develop best management practices to improve the efficiency of all ships that use the corridor and to reduce emissions from the port operations supply chain to improve air quality.

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Source: See endnote 55 for this module.

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  1. Global GDP from transport calculated by applying transport share of GDP to global GDP, from World Bank, “GDP (current US$),” https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, accessed January 12, 2023. Transport share of GDP estimated using a sample of 94 countries, based on the following sources: Trading Economics, “GDP from Transport,” https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gdp-from-transport, and “GDP,” https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gdp, both accessed January 12, 2023; Government of Canada, “Transportation Enabling Economy Growth,” https://tc.canada.ca/en/corporate-services/transparency/corporate-management-reporting/transportation-canada-annual-reports/transportation-enabling-economy-growth, accessed January 12, 2023; Gambia Data Portal, “Gross Domestic Product of Gambia,” https://gambia.opendataforafrica.org/lmljwvg/gross-domestic-product-of-gambia?indicator=1000140-transport-storage-communication, accessed January 12, 2023. As the value for Spain included hostelry, to estimate it more accurately the figure corresponding to tourism activity during 2021 was discounted, based on INE, “Tourism Satellite Account of Spain. Year 2021,” https://www.ine.es/dyngs/INEbase/en/operacion.htm?c=Estadistica_C&cid=1254736169169&menu=ultiDatos&idp=1254735576863, accessed January 12, 2023. For Jamaica and Namibia, it was assumed that the values on Trading Economics were provided in local currency rather than US dollars. Global transport workforce calculated by applying transport share of workforce to global workforce, from World Bank, “Labor Force, Total,” https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.TLF.TOTL.IN?end=2021&start=1990&view=chart, accessed January 12, 2023. Transport share of workforce estimated based on a sample of 53 countries, from International Labour Organization, “Indicator Catalogue,” https://ilostat.ilo.org/data, accessed January 12, 2023. 1
  2. International Energy Agency (IEA), “World Energy Outlook 2022,” October 2022, https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/830fe099-5530-48f2-a7c1-11f35d510983/WorldEnergyOutlook2022.pdf; growth estimates based on datasets in IEA, “World Energy Balances Highlights,” October 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-product/world-energy-balances-highlights#data-sets, all rights reserved, as modified by the Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21).2
  3. IEA, “World Energy Balances,” op. cit. note 2. 3
  4. Ibid.4
  5. Ibid.5
  6. Ibid.6
  7. Ibid. 7
  8. Estimates based on IEA, “Energy Consumption in Transport by Fuel in the Net Zero Scenario, 2000-2030,” October 26, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/energy-consumption-in-transport-by-fuel-in-the-net-zero-scenario-2000-2030, and on REN21 Policy Database. See Reference Table R3a in the GSR 2023 Data Pack, www.ren21.net/gsr2023-data-pack.8
  9. Estimates based on IEA, op. cit. note 8, and on REN21 Policy Database, op. cit. note 8. 9
  10. REN21 estimates the drop in biofuel demand at 4.4%, based on datasets in IEA, “World Energy Balances,” op. cit. note 2.10
  11. IEA, op. cit. note 8.11
  12. H. Ritchie and M. Roser, “Emissions by Sector,” Our World in Data, https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector, accessed January 3, 2023.12
  13. IEA, “Transport,” September 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/transport.13
  14. Ibid.14
  15. IEA, “Global CO2 Emissions from Transport by Sub-sector in the Net Zero Scenario, 2000-2030,” October 26, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-co2-emissions-from-transport-by-sub-sector-in-the-net-zero-scenario-2000-2030. Total value of CO2 emissions for 2021 from European Commission Joint Research Centre, “Global CO2 Emissions Rebound in 2021 After Temporary Reduction During COVID Lockdown,” October 14, 2022, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news/global-co2-emissions-rebound-2021-after-temporary-reduction-during-covid19-lockdown-2022-10-14_en.15
  16. IEA, op. cit. note 15.16
  17. Ibid.17
  18. IEA, “Energy Efficiency Indicators Data Explorer,” December 2, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/energy-efficiency-indicators-data-explorer.18
  19. Ibid.19
  20. Transformative Urban Mobility Initiative (TUMI), “Sustainable Urban Transport: Avoid Shift Improve (ASI),” March 2019, https://www.transformative-mobility.org/assets/publications/ASI_TUMI_SUTP_iNUA_No-9_April-2019.pdf. 20
  21. Ibid.21
  22. Ibid. 22
  23. IEA, “Global EV Outlook 2022,” May 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2022.23
  24. M. Vitorino, “Portugal Sets New Goals for Renewable Energy Consumption,” Lexology, December 12, 2022, https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=fe7c9067-8562-475a-bcb9-399b9a6fe73c; Dutch Emissions Authority, “Renewable Energy for Transport 2022-2030,” https://www.emissionsauthority.nl/topics/general---renewable-energy-for-transport, accessed February 7, 2023.24
  25. European Renewable Ethanol, “Overview of Biofuels Policies and Markets Across the EU,” October 2022, https://www.epure.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/221011-DEF-REP-Overview-of-biofuels-policies-and-markets-across-the-EU-October-2022.pdf.25
  26. TUMI, “Curitiba,” April 6, 2022, https://www.transformative-mobility.org/campaigns/curitiba.26
  27. King County, “Transitioning to a Zero-Emissions Fleet,” https://kingcounty.gov/depts/transportation/metro/programs-projects/innovation-technology/zero-emission-fleet.aspx, accessed February 14, 2023.27
  28. C. Isidore, “Why US Gas Prices Are at a Record, and Why They'll Stay High for a Long Time,” CNN Business, June 6, 2022, https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/06/energy/record-gas-prices-causes/index.html; IEA, “World Energy Outlook 2022,” op. cit. note 2.28
  29. Figure 10 from REN21 Policy Database, op. cit. note 8. 29
  30. “Cabinet Amends Biofuels Policy, Advances Ethanol Blending Target to 2025-26,” Economic Times, May 18, 2022, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/renewables/cabinet-amends-biofuels-policy-advances-ethanol-blending-target-to-2025-26/articleshow/91637676.cms.30
  31. A. Parmar, “Viewpoint: Asian Biofuels Breaking Away from Europe,” Argus Media, December 15, 2022, https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2400935-viewpoint-asian-biofuels-breaking-away-from-europe; S. Kelly and J. Renshaw, “U.S. EPA Proposes Revamp of Biofuel Program to Include Electric Vehicles,” Reuters, December 1, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-epa-proposes-higher-biofuel-blending-volumes-ev-program-2022-12-01.31
  32. REN21 Policy Database, op. cit. note 8. 32
  33. “Brazil to Keep 10% Biodiesel Mandate Until March – CNPE,” Reuters, November 22, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/brazil-keep-10-biodiesel-mandate-until-march-cnpe-2022-11-21.33
  34. Figure 11 from REN21 Policy Database. See Reference Table R3b in the GSR 2023 Data Pack, www.ren21.net/gsr2023-data-pack.34
  35. J. Amir, “Thai Government Announces EV Roadmap,” S&P Global, March 16, 2020, https://www.spglobal.com/mobility/en/research-analysis/thai-government-announces-ev-roadmap.html; 35
  36. Baker Mckenzie, “Philippines: The Electric Vehicle Industry Development Act (EVIDA), Republic Act No. 11697, Lapses into Law,” May 10, 2022, https://insightplus.bakermckenzie.com/bm/tax/philippines-the-electric-vehicle-industry-development-act-evida-republic-act-no-11697-lapses-into-law.36
  37. Kelly and Renshaw, op. cit. note 31.37
  38. REN21 Policy Database, op. cit. note 34.38
  39. “Germany Includes Plug-in Hybrids to Achieve Target of 15 Million EVs by 2030,” Power Technology, February 25, 2022, https://www.power-technology.com/comment/germany-target-15-million-evs. 39
  40. The White House, “FACT SHEET: Biden-Harris Administration Proposes New Standards for National Electric Vehicle Charging Network,” June 9, 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/06/09/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-proposes-new-standards-for-national-electric-vehicle-charging-network. 40
  41. G.Jacquot, “L'obligation de pose de panneaux photovoltaïques sur les grands parkings extérieurs adoptée au Sénat,” Public Senat, November 4, 2022, https://www.publicsenat.fr/article/parlementaire/l-obligation-de-pose-de-panneaux-photovoltaiques-sur-les-grands-parkingshttps://www.publicsenat.fr/article/parlementaire/l-obligation-de-pose-de-panneaux-photovoltaiques-sur-les-grands-parkings.41
  42. Ministry of New & Renewable Energy of India, “India National Hydrogen Mission,” March 2022, https://static.pib.gov.in/WriteReadData/specificdocs/documents/2023/jan/doc2023110150801.pdf. 42
  43. REN21 Policy Database. See Reference Table R3b in the GSR 2023 Data Pack, www.ren21.net/gsr2023-data-pack.43
  44. Ibid.44
  45. “EU Parliament Votes to Ban Sale of Petrol Car by 2035,” Le Monde, February 14, 2023, https://www.lemonde.fr/en/european-union/article/2023/02/14/eu-parliament-votes-to-ban-petrol-car-sales-by-2035_6015745_156.html.45
  46. Transport Environment, “Kerosene Taxation: How to Implement It in Europe Today,” June 2020, https://www.transportenvironment.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/2020_06_Kerosene_taxation_briefing.pdf.46
  47. International Air Transport Association, “Fact Sheet: EU and US Policy Approaches to Advance SAF Production,” 2021, https://www.iata.org/contentassets/d13875e9ed784f75bac90f000760e998/fact-sheet---us-and-eu-saf-policies.pdf.47
  48. European Council, “ETS Aviation: Council and Parliament Strike Provisional Deal to Reduce Flight Emissions,” December 7, 2022, https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2022/12/07/ets-aviation-council-and-parliament-strike-provisional-deal-to-reduce-flight-emissions.48
  49. D. Shepardson, “U.S. Outlines Roadmap to Boost Sustainable Aviation Fuel,” Reuters, September 23, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-outlines-roadmap-boost-sustainable-aviation-fuel-use-2022-09-23.49
  50. US Department of Energy, “SAF Grand Challenge Roadmap – Flight Plan for Sustainable Aviation Fuel,” September 2022, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-09/beto-saf-gc-roadmap-report-sept-2022.pdf.50
  51. D. Larsen, “Denmark Aims for Fossil-Fuel Free Inland Flights by 2030,” Electrive, January 4, 2022, https://www.electrive.com/2022/01/04/denmark-aims-for-fossil-fuel-free-inland-flights-by-2030.51
  52. L. Limb, “It's Official: France Bans Short Haul Domestic Flights in Favour of Train Travel,” euronews, December 5, 2022, https://www.euronews.com/green/2022/12/02/is-france-banning-private-jets-everything-we-know-from-a-week-of-green-transport-proposals.52
  53. SNCF, “Un contrat record pour faire rouler vos trains grâce au photovoltaïque,” https://www.sncf.com/fr/groupe/fournisseurs/contrat-ppa-photovoltaique-sncf-energie-reden, accessed December 18, 2022.53
  54. Ibid.54
  55. P. Gururaja, “A Big First Step Toward Green Shipping Corridors,” ClimateWorks Foundation, February 2, 2022, https://www.climateworks.org/blog/green-shipping-corridors; Mission Innovation, “Green Shipping Corridor Route Tracker,” 2023, http://mission-innovation.net/missions/shipping/green-shipping-corridors/route-tracker; C40 Cities, “Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore, Port of Los Angeles, Port of Long Beach and C40 Cities to Establish a Green and Digital Shipping Corridor,” November 7, 2022, https://www.c40.org/news/maritime-and-port-authority-of-singapore-port-of-los-angeles-port-of-long-beach-and-c40-cities-to-establish-a-green-and-digital-shipping-corridor. Snapshot: US-China based on C40 Cities, “Port of Los Angeles, Port of Shanghai, and C40 Cities Announce Partnership to Create World's First Transpacific Green Shipping Corridor Between Ports in the United States and China,” January 28, 2022, https://www.c40.org/news/la-shanghai-green-shipping-corridor. 55
  56. UN Climate Change Conference UK 2021, “Clydebank Declaration for Green Shipping Corridors,” November 10, 2021, https://ukcop26.org/cop-26-clydebank-declaration-for-green-shipping-corridors.56
  57. BloombergNEF, “Energy Transition Investment Trends 2023,” January 2023, https://about.bnef.com/energy-transition-investment.57
  58. IEA, “Biofuels – Renewables 2021 – Analysis,” 2021, https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2021/biofuels?mode=transport&region=World&publication=2021&flow=Consumption&product=Ethanol. See also Reference Table R3a in the GSR 2023 Data Pack, www.ren21.net/gsr2023-data-pack.58
  59. M. Teixeira, “High Energy Prices Fuel Investor Interest in Brazil's Idle Biofuel Capacity,” Reuters, June 8, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/high-energy-prices-fuel-investor-interest-brazils-idle-biofuel-capacity-2022-06-08.59
  60. S&P Global Commodity Insights, “Top Biofuels Market Trends in 2022 and Beyond,” 2022, https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/ci/info/0322/top-biofuels-market-trends-2022-beyond.html; glpautogas.info, “HVO 100 Stations in USA, Map and Updated Listing,” https://www.glpautogas.info/en/hvo100-stations-united-states.html, accessed January 31, 2023.60
  61. Phillips 66, “Phillips 66 Makes Final Investment Decision to Convert San Francisco Refinery to a Renewable Fuels Facility,” May 11, 2022, https://investor.phillips66.com/financial-information/news-releases/news-release-details/2022/Phillips-66-Makes-Final-Investment-Decision-to-Convert-San-Francisco-Refinery-to-a-Renewable-Fuels-Facility.61
  62. S&P Global Commodity Insights, op. cit. note 60; glpautogas.info, op. cit. note 60.62
  63. BloombergNEF, op. cit. note 57; M. Prestes, “Palm Oil for Biodiesel in the Amazon: Sustainable Fuel or Deforestation Risk?” Global Issues, May 4, 2022, https://www.globalissues.org/news/2022/04/04/30517. 63
  64. Figure 12 from BloombergNEF, op. cit. note 57.64
  65. BloombergNEF, “Electric Vehicle Outlook 2022,” 2022, https://about.bnef.com/electric-vehicle-outlook.65
  66. BloombergNEF, “Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Prices Rise for First Time to an Average of $151/kWh,” December 6, 2022, https://about.bnef.com/blog/lithium-ion-battery-pack-prices-rise-for-first-time-to-an-average-of-151-kwh.66
  67. Neste, “Green Finance Report 2021,” 2022, https://www.neste.com/investors.67
  68. P. Tisheva, “Saudi Arabia's Alfanar to Invest GBP 1bn in UK SAF Project,” Renewables Now, March 17, 2022, https://renewablesnow.com/news/saudi-arabias-alfanar-to-invest-gbp-1bn-in-uk-saf-project-777358.68
  69. S&P Global Commodity Insights, op. cit. note 60.69
  70. I. Thomas, “United Airlines Is Aiming to Have Electric Planes Flying by 2030,” CNBC, October 10, 2022, https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/06/united-airlines-is-aiming-to-have-electric-planes-flying-by-2030.html.70
  71. “Air Canada to Buy 30 Electric Planes from Heart Aerospace,” Reuters, September 15, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/air-canada-buy-30-electric-planes-heart-aerospace-2022-09-15; W. Bellamy III, “Air Canada Signs Purchase Agreement for Heart's Updated ES-30 Electric Aircraft,” Aviation Today, September 20, 2022, https://www.aviationtoday.com/2022/09/20/air-canada-signs-purchase-agreement-hearts-updated-es-30-electric-aircraft.71
  72. D. Burroughs, “ÖBB to Invest €١bn in Renewable Energy by ٢٠٣٠,” International Railway Journal, May 13, 2022, https://www.railjournal.com/financial/obb-to-invest-e1bn-in-renewable-energy-by-2030.72
  73. International Renewable Energy Agency, “Technology Brief: Renewable Energy Options for Shipping,” January 2015, https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2015/IRENA_Tech_Brief_RE_for-Shipping_2015.pdf.73
  74. International Transport Forum, “ITF Transport Outlook 2021,” May 17, https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/transport/itf-transport-outlook-2021_16826a30-en. 74
  75. Ibid.75
  76. Ibid.76
  77. Based on recover scenario in Ibid.77
  78. Estimates based on datasets in IEA, “World Energy Balances,” op. cit. note 2.78
  79. Ibid.79
  80. Ibid.80
  81. Ibid. Growth rates calculated using averages pre-COVID-19. 81
  82. Ibid.82
  83. Figure 13 from Ibid. Growth rates calculated using averages pre-COVID-19.83
  84. Ibid.84
  85. Ibid.85
  86. Ibid.86
  87. Road transport's share of emissions based on IEA, “Energy Statistics Data Browser,” https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/energy-statistics-data-browser?country=WORLD&fuel=Energy%20supply&indicator=TESbySource, August 18, 2022; global emissions from M. Crippa et al., “CO2 emissions of all world countries – 2022 Report,” European Commission Joint Research Centre, 2022, https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC130363; shares of light vehicles based on 2019 values from IEA, op. cit. note 13, and on International Council for Clean Transportation, “Light Vehicles,” https://theicct.org/sector/light-vehicles, accessed December 15, 2022.87
  88. Estimates based on International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), “Global Sales Statistics 2019-2021,” https://www.oica.net/category/sales-statistics, accessed December 16, 2022, and on IEA, “As the Covid-19 Crisis Hammers the Auto Industry, Electric Cars Remain a Bright Spot,” May 18, 2020, https://www.iea.org/commentaries/as-the-covid-19-crisis-hammers-the-auto-industry-electric-cars-remain-a-bright-spot. Europe includes the Russian Federation and Türkiye.88
  89. IEA, op. cit. note 88. 89
  90. Ibid. 90
  91. European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), “Vehicles in Use Europe 2022,” January 2022, https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2022.pdf; Wikipedia, “List of Countries by Vehicles per Capita,” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_vehicles_per_capita, accessed January 10, 2022.91
  92. REN21 Policy Database, op. cit. note 8. 92
  93. Estimates based on Ibid. and on IEA, op. cit. note 8; IEA, “Biofuels,” September 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/biofuels. 93
  94. Snapshot: Spain based on the following sources: Energías Renovables, “Bioenergía – Una veintena de autobuses urbanos de Madrid abandonan el gas natural y lo sustituyen por biometano de vertedero,” September 8, 2022, https://www.energias-renovables.com/bioenergia/los-autobuses-urbanos-de-madrid-abandonan-el-20220908; Foro de Empresas por Madrid, “Los autobuses madrileños se moverán con biometano,” August 9, 2022, https://www.forodeempresaspormadrid.es/actualidad/foro/los-autobuses-madrilenos-se-moveran-con-biometano; NGV Journal, “Madrid Expands PTV Biogas Plant, Will Be Able to Supply 500 EMT Buses,” April 21, 2022, http://www.ngvjournal.com/s1-news/c4-stations/madrid-expands-valdemingomez-biogas-plant-will-be-able-to-supply-500-buses; Ayuntamiento de Madrid, “Madrid utilizará el biometano de Valdemingómez para mover los autobuses de EMT,” July 9, 2022, https://www.madrid.es/portales/munimadrid/es/Inicio/Actualidad/Noticias/Madrid-utilizara-el-biometano-de-Valdemingomez-para-mover-los-autobuses-de-EMT.94
  95. European Commission, “Mobility and Transport, Biofuels,” https://transport.ec.europa.eu/transport-modes/air/environment/biofuels_en, accessed January 9, 2023; G. Squadrin, B. O'Kelly and S. Barthel, “Viewpoint: HVO, SAF Demand to Outstrip Supply in 2022,” Argus Media, December 22, 2021, https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2285785-viewpoint-hvo-saf-demand-to-outstrip-supply-in-2022.95
  96. Airbus, “Airbus A330MRTT Completes First 100% SAF Test Flight on Both Engines,” November 18, 2022, https://www.airbus.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2022-11-airbus-a330mrtt-completes-first-100-saf-test-flight-on-both-engines; Neste, “First Flight in History with 100% Sustainable Aviation Fuel on a Regional Commercial Aircraft,” June 21, 2022, https://www.neste.com/releases-and-news/renewable-solutions/first-flight-history-100-sustainable-aviation-fuel-regional-commercial-aircraft.96
  97. IEA, “World Energy Balances,” op. cit. note 2. 97
  98. Ibid.98
  99. Ibid.99
  100. OICA, op. cit. note 88; IEA, “Electric Vehicles,” September 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/electric-vehicles; IEA, “Global EV Data Explorer,” May 23, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/global-ev-data-explorer.100
  101. Here “vehicles” refers to automobiles, trucks, vans and buses. Estimated based on IEA, “Global EV Data Explorer,” op. cit. note 100.101
  102. IEA, “Electric Vehicles,” op. cit. note 100.102
  103. Ibid.103
  104. Ibid. 104
  105. IEA, “Global EV Data Explorer,” op. cit. note 100.105
  106. BloombergNEF, “Electric Vehicle Outlook 2022, Executive Summary, Near Term Outlook,” 2022, https://bnef.turtl.co/story/evo-2022/page/3/2. 106
  107. IEA, “Global EV Data Explorer,” op. cit. note 100.107
  108. IEA, op. cit. note 18.108
  109. Ibid. 109
  110. J. Biba, “Will Charging an Electric Car Ever Be Quick and Easy?” Builtin, November 1, 2022, https://builtin.com/transportation-tech/electric-vehicle-charging.110
  111. INES, “ITE INES.2S Mettre du solaire dans votre véhicule (électrique),” September 15, 2022, https://www.ines-solaire.org/news/ite-ines.2s-mettre-du-solaire-dans-votre-vehicule-electrique; E. Bellini “Vehicle-integrated PV for Heavy-duty Trucks,” pv magazine, October 21, 2021, https://www.pv-magazine.com/2021/10/25/vehicle-integrated-pv-for-heavy-duty-trucks.111
  112. International Organization for Standardization, “ISO 15118-20:2022(en) Road vehicles — Vehicle to grid communication interface — Part 20: 2nd generation network layer and application layer requirements,” 2022, https://www.iso.org/obp/ui/#iso:std:iso:15118:-20:ed-1:v1:en; Virta, “Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G): Everything You Need to Know,” https://www.virta.global/vehicle-to-grid-v2g, accessed January 4, 2022.112
  113. IEA, “Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Stock by Region and by Mode, 2021,” October 26, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/fuel-cell-electric-vehicle-stock-by-region-and-by-mode-2021. 113
  114. US Department of Energy, “Hydrogen's Role in Transportation,” February 25, 2022, https://www.energy.gov/eere/vehicles/articles/hydrogens-role-transportation.114
  115. IEA, “Hydrogen,” September 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/hydrogen; Hydrogen Central, “Quantron Hydrogen-Powered Truck Has a Range of 1500 Km,” September 27, 2022, https://hydrogen-central.com/quantron-hydrogen-powered-truck-range-1500-km.115
  116. IEA, “Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Stock and Hydrogen Refuelling Stations by Region, 2021,” October 26, 2022, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/fuel-cell-electric-vehicle-stock-and-hydrogen-refuelling-stations-by-region-2021.116
  117. IEA, op. cit. note 115.117
  118. Ibid.118
  119. Ibid.119
  120. Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, “Human Rights in the Mineral Supply Chains of Electric Vehicles,” https://www.business-humanrights.org/en/from-us/briefings/transition-minerals-sector-case-studies/human-rights-in-the-mineral-supply-chains-of-electric-vehicles, accessed March 8, 2023. 120
  121. BloombergNEF, op. cit. note 106.121
  122. BloombergNEF, “Electric Vehicle Outlook 2022, Executive Summary, Batteries and Charging Infrastructure,” 2022, https://bnef.turtl.co/story/evo-2022/page/6/2.122
  123. Green Climate Fund, “B.33/11 Launch of the Second Replenishment of the GCF,” August 9, 2022, https://www.greenclimate.fund/decision/b33-11; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, “COP27 Reaches Breakthrough Agreement on New ‘Loss and Damage' Fund for Vulnerable Countries,” November 20, 2022, https://unfccc.int/news/cop27-reaches-breakthrough-agreement-on-new-loss-and-damage-fund-for-vulnerable-countries; Rockefeller Foundation “Global Philanthropies Create New Multilateral Development Banks Challenge Fund to Increase Investment in Developing Countries,” December 10, 2022, https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/news/global-philanthropies-create-new-multilateral-development-banks-challenge-fund-to-increase-investment-in-developing-countries. 123